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Livescience

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'Just the tip of the iceberg': Why risky asteroids like 2024 YR4 will pester Earth for decades to come

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially posing a threat to Earth, saw its impact probability fluctuate from 3.1% to 0.28% over a few days.
  • Despite concerns, astronomers anticipated 2024 YR4's near-miss, as observations unveiled a decreased likelihood of impact.
  • The Torino Impact Hazard Scale categorized 2024 YR4 as a Level 3 asteroid capable of 'localized destruction' before its impact chances dropped below 1%.
  • With advanced telescope observations refining the data, 2024 YR4 descended to a Level 1 asteroid posing 'no unusual danger' to Earth.
  • Asteroids like 2024 YR4 are monitored by the International Asteroid Warning Network to assess potential threats and coordinate deflection strategies.
  • Comparatively, asteroid Apophis, a larger space rock on a trajectory towards Earth in 2029, presents similarities in potential impact scenarios.
  • As Earth's detection methods improve, astronomer Richard Binzel suggests that 2024 YR4 signifies just the beginning of discovering more risky asteroids.
  • The ongoing enhancement in asteroid surveillance aims to minimize surprise impacts by identifying and tracking potentially hazardous objects in advance.
  • Asteroid research and mitigation efforts seek to prevent catastrophic events similar to those observed in Earth's history, fostering a proactive approach to celestial threats.
  • Binzel emphasizes that the evolving detection capabilities will lead to increased knowledge and preparedness in handling future space rock encounters.

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