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Modeling Product Growth with Technical Debt: A Logistic Approach

  • The article introduces an extended logistic growth model to analyze the impact of technical debt and process fatigue on product growth.
  • The model includes a decay factor to simulate the slowdown in growth due to internal factors like technical debt, not just market saturation.
  • By tracking metrics like decay term, organizations can identify areas for improvement and maintain long-term growth.
  • The article compares two development styles - Fast & Rough vs. Slow & Stable - emphasizing the tradeoff between short-term speed and long-term sustainability.

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