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NOAA forecast: Atlantic hurricane season above average in 2025
- NOAA has released its forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting an above-average season with 13-19 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes.
- Factors like warm water temperatures, wind shear, and the West African monsoon contribute to the prediction of an active hurricane season.
- With ENSO shifting to a neutral phase, there's a 74% chance it will remain neutral through the first half of the Atlantic hurricane season.
- NOAA expects weaker wind shear, which could aid in tropical development despite uncertainties in predicting the impacts of an ENSO-Neutral phase.
- The West African monsoon season is expected to be active, potentially leading to more tropical development due to favorable conditions.
- NOAA is working on improving hurricane forecasts and communication, including upgrades to tracking models and issuing tropical cyclone advisories earlier.
- The National Hurricane Center will provide forecasts in Spanish and overlay inland watches and warnings on the forecast cone to enhance risk communication.
- Overall, NOAA's forecast suggests the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season could see increased activity, prompting necessary preparations and awareness.
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