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Scaling Laws of Motion Forecasting and Planning -- A Technical Report

  • Study on scaling laws of encoder-decoder autoregressive transformer models for motion forecasting and planning in autonomous driving domain.
  • Model performance improves with total compute budget following a power-law function, similar to language modeling, with a correlation between training loss and evaluation metrics.
  • Closed-loop metrics also improve with scaling, impacting the suitability of open-loop metrics for model development and hill climbing.
  • Optimal scaling of transformer parameters and training data size shows the need to increase model size faster than dataset size as the training compute budget grows.

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