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Image Credit: Arxiv

Score-based diffusion nowcasting of GOES imagery

  • Machine learning method called score-based diffusion is explored for nowcasting clouds and precipitation in a zero to three hour forecast.
  • Three main types of diffusion models were experimented with: standard score-based diffusion model, residual correction diffusion model, and latent diffusion model.
  • Results show that these diffusion models can advect existing clouds, generate and decay clouds, and even predict convective initiation.
  • The best performing diffusion model was the CorrDiff approach, outperforming traditional U-Net and persistence forecast in root mean squared error.

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