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Seasonal and Trend Decomposition Methods for Time Series Forecasting

  • Time series decomposition is based on the idea that time series can be broken down into four fundamental components: trend, seasonality, cyclical patterns, and random variations.
  • Classical decomposition provides valuable insights, but modern techniques like the STL method offer more flexibility and robustness in handling seasonal components.
  • Decomposition results provide actionable insights about trend direction, trend strength, seasonal amplitude, and residual variance.
  • Seasonal and trend decomposition methods are essential for understanding time series data and can inform forecasting, anomaly detection, and pattern analysis.

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