Counterpoint Research has revised down its 2025 global smartphone shipment growth forecast to 1.9 percent YoY from 4.2 percent YoY due to US tariffs impact.
IDC Research had forecasted a 0.6 percent YoY growth in worldwide smartphone shipments for 2025, mentioning tariff volatility and economic challenges.
North America and China are expected to see declines in smartphone shipment growth, with price increases due to tariffs affecting demand.
Apple and Samsung may experience lower growth projections as cost increases are expected to be passed on to consumers.
Huawei's growth outlook has been upgraded due to easing supply chain bottlenecks and sustained momentum from self-developed chips.
Trump's tariff policies have led to challenges for companies like Apple, which sought to shift iPhone production to India to mitigate tariff impacts.
Apple expects additional costs due to tariffs, with considerations for potential price increases in its autumn iPhone range.
Trump suspended punitive tariffs against China and other countries for 90 days following global turmoil and rising consumer prices.