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State-supported armed conflict is top global risk now
- The 20th edition of the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Report highlights state-based armed conflict as the top global risk for 2025, with one-quarter of respondents expressing concerns.
- The report leverages insights from over 900 global leaders to analyze risks across immediate, short- and long-term horizons, aiming to equip leaders with foresight to address emerging challenges.
- Global leaders are less optimistic about the world's outlook in the long term, anticipating turbulence driven by environmental, technological, and societal challenges by 2035.
- Concerns include instability in international cooperation, illicit economic activity, debt burdens, and concentration of strategic resources, all posing risks to the global economy.
- Misinformation and disinformation remain top short-term risks, threatening societal cohesion and governance by eroding trust and exacerbating divisions.
- Other short-term risks highlighted in the report include extreme weather events, societal polarization, cyber-espionage and warfare, and pollution.
- While economic risks such as inflation and economic downturn have subsided, concerns persist regarding debt, crime, and illicit economic activities.
- Technological risks related to adverse outcomes of AI technologies and biotech advancements are also mentioned in the report as emerging concerns over the next decade.
- The report discusses the super-aging risk in societies, predicting challenges like pension crises, labour shortages, and economic impacts due to demographic shifts.
- The need for effective global cooperation is emphasized in the face of fragmented global orders, with a call for prioritizing dialogue, strengthening ties, and fostering collaboration for a sustainable future.
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