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Image Credit: Arxiv

Survival Analysis as Imprecise Classification with Trainable Kernels

  • Survival analysis is crucial for modeling time-to-event data in various fields like healthcare, engineering, and finance, facing challenges due to censored observations.
  • Traditional methods such as the Beran estimator struggle with complex data structures and heavy censoring.
  • This paper introduces three new survival models - iSurvM, iSurvQ, and iSurvJ - combining imprecise probability theory and attention mechanisms to handle censored data without parametric assumptions.
  • These models represent censored observations using interval-valued probability distributions for each instance over time intervals between events moments.
  • They utilize kernel-based Nadaraya-Watson regression with trainable attention weights to compute the imprecise probability distribution over time intervals for the dataset.
  • Three decision strategies are considered for training, corresponding to the three proposed models.
  • Experiments on synthetic and real datasets show that the proposed models, particularly iSurvJ, outperform the Beran estimator in terms of accuracy and computational complexity.
  • Codes for implementing the models are available for public use.

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