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The Great Indian Real Estate Arbitrage Opportunity

  • The article discusses the real estate arbitrage opportunity in India, focusing on co-working and managed office spaces as established forms of the playbook.
  • India's flexible workspace market is projected to grow at over 25% CAGR in the next three years, surpassing the overall office space market growth.
  • Large enterprises are increasingly adopting flexible workspaces post-COVID for agility, capital efficiency, and optionality over traditional leases.
  • Managed office spaces, offering single touchpoints for enterprises and better asset-liability matching, have become the fastest-growing sub-segment within flexible workspaces.
  • In India, the co-working model has been successful due to factors like fragmented ownership structure, improved asset-liability matching, and landlord collaborations.
  • The market is consolidating rapidly around a few scaled players, with the top five operators controlling 45% of the total market share.
  • Demand and supply in the flex space market are increasingly intermediated through institutional consultants or brokers, favoring platforms with scale and consistency.
  • Location remains crucial, with micro-market presence and proximity to demand centers dictating occupancy and pricing.
  • While co-working in India continues to offer an arbitrage opportunity, scale, operating leverage, and access to capital are becoming primary drivers of value.
  • The article suggests that early-stage alpha opportunities may now lie in adjacent segments like co-living, vacation rentals, senior living, and hybrid hospitality spaces.

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