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The Mathematics of How Our Minds Change

  • Our beliefs evolve through a messy process of filtering information and weighing new evidence.
  • Bayes' Theorem provides a logical explanation for why repeated exposure to new evidence and social reinforcement can change our beliefs over time.
  • Bayes' Theorem shows how prior beliefs about an event should change in light of new evidence.
  • Changing minds is usually a gradual process that requires systematic updating of beliefs with each new piece of credible evidence.

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