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Image Credit: Arxiv

Uncertainty Profiles for LLMs: Uncertainty Source Decomposition and Adaptive Model-Metric Selection

  • Large language models (LLMs) can generate fluent but factually incorrect outputs, known as hallucinations, affecting reliability in real-world applications.
  • A framework decomposing LLM uncertainty into four distinct sources is presented in this paper.
  • A source-specific estimation pipeline is developed to quantify these uncertainty types across tasks and models.
  • Experiments show that the proposed uncertainty-aware selection strategy consistently outperforms baseline strategies in selecting appropriate models or uncertainty metrics for more reliable deployment.

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