Despite LSTM’s potential, accurately predicting dynamic wildfire indices remains challenging due to the complex and volatile nature of environmental factors influencing wildfire risk.
Using synthetic time-series data, an LSTM model was developed and trained to predict a wildfire risk index based on weather-related features. Cross-validation and hyperparameter tuning were employed to optimize model performance.
The trained model demonstrated underfitting, producing near-constant predictions that failed to reflect the true variability in the data. There was a discrepancy between actual and predicted values, and the loss values were stable but suboptimal.
To improve the model's ability to capture patterns in complex wildfire prediction, enhancements in model complexity, feature engineering, and data preprocessing are recommended.