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Unlocking the Power of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with Time-Series Sequences

  • Despite LSTM’s potential, accurately predicting dynamic wildfire indices remains challenging due to the complex and volatile nature of environmental factors influencing wildfire risk.
  • Using synthetic time-series data, an LSTM model was developed and trained to predict a wildfire risk index based on weather-related features. Cross-validation and hyperparameter tuning were employed to optimize model performance.
  • The trained model demonstrated underfitting, producing near-constant predictions that failed to reflect the true variability in the data. There was a discrepancy between actual and predicted values, and the loss values were stable but suboptimal.
  • To improve the model's ability to capture patterns in complex wildfire prediction, enhancements in model complexity, feature engineering, and data preprocessing are recommended.

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