This paper focuses on performing a complete uncertainty quantification analysis of a 2D slab burner direct numerical simulation (DNS).
The study addresses challenges related to developing data-driven surrogate models, propagating parametric uncertainties, and Bayesian calibration of latent heat and chemical reaction parameters.
Two surrogate models, Gaussian Process (GP) and Hierarchical Multiscale Surrogate (HMS), were constructed using ensemble simulations generated via Latin Hypercube sampling.
The study emphasizes the importance of surrogate model selection and parameter calibration in quantifying uncertainty in predictions of fuel regression rates in complex combustion systems.