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Bloomberg Quint

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Nifty In Technical Charts: Trend Resets — Yes Or No?

  • Nifty in technical charts: trend resets - Yes or No?
  • April 7-11 was a tumultuous week for stock markets globally.
  • Stock markets fell following the imposition of US tariffs but sharply rebounded when Trump announced a 90-day reprieve.
  • Keep a close watch on stocks that offer trading and investing opportunities in the short term.

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Bloomberg Quint

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S&P 500 Notches Its Best Week Since November 2023

  • The S&P 500 saw its best week since 2023, rallying amid volatility in markets and concerns over trade tensions and economic uncertainty.
  • US 10-year yields surged, easing off Friday's highs, while Wall Street experienced notable price swings during the week.
  • Markets remain volatile with ongoing trade tensions and macroeconomic challenges, leading to uncertainty and turbulence.
  • Federal Reserve official indicated readiness to stabilize markets if needed, reassuring investors.
  • The S&P 500's large intraweek trading range and sharp price swings reflected market uncertainty and high volatility.
  • Investors showed caution towards US assets, favoring Europe and other markets amidst trade war concerns and market turmoil.
  • Economists maintained forecasts of a potential US economic slowdown and elevated recession risk despite tariff delays.
  • Stock markets rallied despite economic concerns, as consumers showed unease and inflation expectations rose.
  • Big banks reported mixed results, with JPMorgan posting record stock trading numbers and Wells Fargo missing net interest income estimates.
  • Market outlook remains uncertain, with a focus on trade policies, corporate earnings, and Federal Reserve intervention.

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Bloomberg Quint

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ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Q4 Result: Date, Dividend News, Earnings Call Details And More

  • ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company will announce its Q4 financial results on April 15.
  • The company's Board of Directors will meet on April 15 to review and approve the financial results for the quarter and year ending March 31, 2025.
  • Following the announcement, ICICI Lombard will hold an earnings call at 7:30 p.m. on April 15.
  • The trading window for dealing in the company's securities will remain closed for designated persons from April 1 to April 17.

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Bloomberg Quint

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US Treasury Yields See Biggest Weekly Jump Since 2001 As Cash Flees

  • US Treasury yields experienced the most significant weekly surge since 2001 as investors withdrew from US assets amid a bond-market selloff triggered by President Donald Trump's trade war.
  • The rapid increase in the 10-year Treasury yields, rising to 4.49%, raised concerns about heightened borrowing costs impacting the broader economy.
  • Uncertainty stemming from Trump's trade policies and the US economic outlook prompted investors to shift towards other assets like the Swiss franc, gold, and the Japanese yen.
  • The volatility in US government debt markets led to a loss of confidence in US policy and raised doubts about Treasuries as risk-free securities.
  • The escalating trade tensions also affected the dollar, reflecting a reduction in overseas investment in the US.
  • Investors turned to European debt markets amid the turmoil, leading to a significant divergence between German and US Treasury yields, with US 10-year rates surging over 50 basis points.
  • The surge in yields contradicted the Trump administration's goal of lowering long-term interest rates, prompting calls for Federal Reserve intervention to stabilize markets.
  • Several analysts, including those from JPMorgan Chase, Deutsche Bank, Jefferies, and Goldman Sachs, suggested potential Fed actions such as quantitative easing or liquidity injections to address the situation.
  • The chaos in the bond market indicated a need for Fed intervention to prevent further market disruptions and ensure financial stability.
  • The sharp rise in Treasury yields and the bond selloff reflected concerns about the US deficit expanding if the economy slows down and Trump implements tax cuts.

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Bloomberg Quint

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Trump-Xi Truce Appears Elusive As China Prepares To Dig In

  • Amid the escalating trade war, prospects for talks between President Trump and President Xi Jinping appear remote as both countries continue to impose steep tariffs on each other's goods.
  • China has matched US tariff hikes, indicating a reluctance to negotiate with the Trump administration, with President Xi Jinping showing a willingness to endure economic and political hardships.
  • Trump has expressed optimism about future talks with Xi, emphasizing a desire for a mutually beneficial deal, but the lack of consistent demands from the US complicates negotiations.
  • Both sides have refrained from engaging in meaningful dialogue, with the Trump administration's erratic tariff messaging further clouding prospects for negotiation.
  • Chinese scholars view US-China relations as a 'negative sum game' where both sides aim to suffer less, highlighting the competitive nature of the ongoing trade dispute.
  • China is prepared to enhance its resilience against economic pressure by exploring stimulus measures, strengthening ties with other trading partners, and utilizing tools like the weakening of the yuan.
  • Amid uncertainties and escalating tensions, paths back to the negotiating table for President Xi Jinping include exploring talks on specific issues like fentanyl and potential rewards for progress.
  • The trade war has raised the possibility of a US-China decoupling, prompting China to focus on building a resilient industrial system to mitigate the impact of the ongoing dispute.
  • Beijing's strategic approaches involve diversifying its trade relationships, imposing restrictions on Hollywood imports, and leveraging its economic leverage to exert pressure on the US economy.
  • Overall, the future of US-China trade talks remains uncertain as both nations navigate through escalating tensions and economic ramifications of the trade dispute.

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Bloomberg Quint

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Germany's New Government Plans Stronger Ties With India On Defence, Skilled Labour: Envoy Ackermann

  • Germany's new government plans to enhance cooperation with India and strengthen bilateral ties, particularly in the areas of defence and skilled labour migration.
  • The government shows a commitment to the proposed submarine deal and is eager to participate in India's Project-75I programme for the construction of conventional submarines.
  • The German ambassador emphasizes the growing intensification of military ties between the two countries with a focus on the Indo-Pacific region.
  • Germany ranks among India's top trading partners within the European Union, with significant trade collaborations in various sectors.

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Bloomberg Quint

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Maharashtra Signs MoU With Russia's Rosatom To Develop Thorium-Based Small Modular Reactor

  • Maharashtra has signed an MoU with Russia's Rosatom to develop a thorium-based small modular reactor.
  • This marks the first time a state government in India will be involved in nuclear energy development.
  • The approval of the Centre is necessary before progressing with the project.
  • The MoU aims to commercialize thorium reactors in Maharashtra and establish an assembly line for their production.

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Bloomberg Quint

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India Supports World's First Global Carbon Tax On Shipping

  • India and 62 other countries on Friday voted in favour of the world's first-ever global carbon tax imposed on the shipping industry by the United Nations' shipping agency.
  • Starting 2028, ships will either have to shift to lower-emission fuels or pay a fee for the pollution they generate.
  • The tax could generate up to $40 billion by 2030, which will be used exclusively to cut emissions in the shipping industry, not for supporting climate action in developing countries.
  • Despite this breakthrough in global climate policy, carbon pricing is expected to reduce shipping emissions by only 10% by 2030, falling short of the IMO's target of at least 20%.

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Bloomberg Quint

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US Tariffs Could Shrink Global Trade By 3%: UN Economist

  • Global trade could shrink by 3% due to US tariffs, leading to shifts in trade patterns and economic integration, says UN economist.
  • US President Donald Trump's tariff plan, with a 90-day pause, may result in exports moving from US and China to India, Canada, and Brazil.
  • Countries like Mexico, China, and Thailand are among the most affected by the tariffs, with significant impact on global GDP projected by 2040.
  • Developing countries are advised to prioritize diversification, value addition, and regional integration to navigate global shocks effectively.
  • China imposing 125% tariffs on US imports signals a long-term strategic approach, aiming to outlast and outmaneuver the US in the trade war.
  • Beijing shifting away from symmetrical retaliatory tariffs indicates a focus on economic ties in Southeast Asia to buffer its economy and expand diplomatic clout.
  • The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China are causing a virtual halt in goods trade between the two largest economies.
  • Both Washington and Beijing may eventually need to re-engage and manage the trade situation for long-term stability, suggested by experts.
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping is aiming to outlast and outmaneuver Trump's tariff strategies by focusing on long-term strategic advantages.
  • Beijing's goals include economic buffering, expanding diplomatic influence, and applying pressure on US allies in the trade negotiations.

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Bloomberg Quint

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Ireda Q4 Results: Date, Business Update, Share Price History And More

  • Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency Ltd. (Ireda), a non-banking financial institution, will announce its financial earnings for the quarter and year ending March 31, 2025, next week.
  • Ireda's Q4 financial results will be announced on April 15, 2025, following a board meeting.
  • Trading in Ireda's securities will remain suspended for designated persons and their immediate relatives from April 1 to April 17.
  • In Q3 of FY25, Ireda reported a net profit of Rs 425 crore, a 26.7% increase from the year-ago period, and a revenue of Rs 1,699 crore, a 35.6% increase year-on-year.

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Bloomberg Quint

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US Recession Risk Still High After Trump Tariff Delay, Economists Say

  • Wall Street economists maintain forecasts for a sharp US economic slowdown with elevated recession risk post Trump's tariff delay.
  • Projections range from -0.1% to 0.6% GDP growth in 2025 and 0.5% to 1.5% in 2026, alongside nearly 5% unemployment and rising inflation.
  • Despite market rally, economists remain pessimistic due to high US tariff rates, with a potential for sub-1% GDP growth quarters leading to a recession.
  • The effective average US tariff rate slightly decreased to 26.25% after the tariff delay announcement.
  • Economists foresee stagflationary pressures in the US amidst high tariffs and shifting imports away from China.
  • The risk of recession remains high for the US, with Goldman Sachs pegging it at 45% and JPMorgan seeing a possible contraction later this year.
  • Financial markets are volatile post-tariff delay, with the S&P 500 up 7.6% but still below the February record high.
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York predicts slower GDP growth, higher unemployment, and inflation rates in the US.
  • UBS economist highlights the significant impact of US tariff decisions on imports, equating to the size of a large developed market economy.
  • US willingness to raise taxes despite the tariff delay raises concerns about the economic impact and underappreciated implications.

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Bloomberg Quint

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JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Predicts Treasury Market ‘Kerfuffle’ Where Fed Steps In

  • JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon predicts a 'kerfuffle' in the US Treasury market and expects the Federal Reserve to step in.
  • Yields, especially on longer-term debt, have increased amid market turmoil related to President Trump's tariff policy.
  • Dimon suggests that bank rule changes are necessary to avoid a repeat of the Treasury market freeze seen in March 2020.
  • He highlights the need for reforms to make banks more active intermediaries, otherwise, the Fed will have to intervene.

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Economic Times

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Alphabet, Nvidia invest in OpenAI cofounder Sutskever's SSI

  • Alphabet and Nvidia have invested in OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's startup, Safe Superintelligence (SSI), which focuses on artificial intelligence.
  • SSI has quickly become one of the most valuable AI startups and recently secured a funding round led by Greenoaks, valuing the company at $32 billion.
  • Alphabet's cloud computing arm will provide SSI with access to its in-house AI chips, while Nvidia's investment in SSI underscores the increasing interest of big tech companies in AI investments.
  • SSI primarily uses tensor processing units (TPUs) for AI research, which are more efficient for specific tasks, while competing with major cloud providers investing in AI startups.

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Pymnts

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Revolut to Add UK Stocks to Trading Platform

  • Revolut plans to add U.K. stocks to its trading platform in response to customer demand.
  • The company gained its U.K. trading license in November.
  • Revolut already offers U.S. and European equities on its platform.
  • The company aims to expand its banking services, launch an IPO, and become a global financial services app.

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Pymnts

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Bank of England Warns of Higher Market Volatility From AI-Driven Trading

  • The Bank of England has warned that the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in algorithmic trading could increase market volatility and amplify financial instability.
  • The widespread use of AI for trading and investing could lead to a 'herding' behavior, causing sudden market drops.
  • The report emphasizes that the use of advanced AI-based trading strategies could result in firms taking increasingly correlated positions and acting similarly during times of stress, thereby amplifying shocks.
  • However, if AI is used to tailor strategies specifically for each client, it could lead to more market stability by diversifying investments.

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